And the Oscar goes to…
As we draw very close to February 24th, when the Academy Awards 2019 will be finally given out, its time to predict the likely winners based on the buzz, and also present the Third Vantage Point Perspective on who are the most deserving winners based on nominations, along with the major snubs in all major categories (and there were many this year across the board)
Thanks to the initiative by PVR Cinemas, there were special screenings held for almost all the majorly nominated films at the Oscars and gave us the opportunity to experience them at the theaters. A few others were watched online given that there was no other chance for their release before the awards were declared. The major nominations across the major categories are hence covered, so lets look at where Oscars should go (ranked in order of most deserving to least deserving based on TVP perspective), and could go by category. We will also talk about the two of the worst snubs in the category (and there could be more that we think were deserving).
BEST PICTURE
TVP Preference order of Should Win:
- Roma
- Green Book
- A Star is Born
- BlacKkKlansman
- Bohemian Rhapsody
- The Favorite
- Black Panther
- Vice
Likely to Win: Roma
Major Snubs – TVP Perspective: First Man, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
TVP Preference order of Should Win:
- Glenn Close – The Wife
- Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
- Yalitza Aparicio – Roma
- Lady Gaga – A Star Is Born
- Olivia Colman – The Favorite
Likely to Win: Glenn Close – The Wife
Major Snubs – TVP Perspective: Thomasin McKenzie – Leave No Trace, KiKi Layne – If Beale Street Could Talk
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
TVP Preference order of Should Win:
- Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
- Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
- Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate
- Viggo Mortensen – Green Book
- Christian Bale – Vice
Likely to Win: Christian Bale – Vice
Major Snubs – TVP Perspective: Ryan Gosling – First Man, Steve Carell – Beautiful Boy
DIRECTOR
TVP Preference order of Should Win:
- Alfonso Cuarón – Roma
- Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
- Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
- Paweł Pawlikowski – Cold War
- Adam McKay – Vice
Likely to Win: Alfonso Cuarón – Roma
Major Snubs – TVP Perspective: Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born, Debra Granik – Leave No Trace
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
TVP Preference order of Should Win:
- Mahershala Ali – Green Book
- Sam Elliott – A Star Is Born
- Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
- Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
- Sam Rockwell – Vice
Likely to Win: Mahershala Ali – Green Book
Major Snubs – TVP Perspective: Timothee Chalamet – Beautiful Boy, Ed Oxenbould – Wildlife
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
TVP Preference order of Should Win:
- Emma Stone – The Favorite
- Rachel Weisz – The Favorite
- Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
- Marina de Tavira – Roma
- Amy Adams – Vice
Likely to Win: Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
Major Snubs – TVP Perspective: Claire Foy – First Man, Emily Blunt – The Quiet Place
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
TVP Preference order of Should Win:
- Can You Ever Forgive Me?
- BlacKkKlansman
- A Star Is Born
- If Beale Street Could Talk
- The Ballad Of Buster Scruggs
Likely to Win: BlacKkKlansman
Major Snubs – TVP Perspective: First Man, The Wife
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
TVP Preference order of Should Win:
- Green Book
- Roma
- The Favourite
- First Reformed
- Vice
Likely to Win: The Favorite
Major Snubs – TVP Perspective: Eighth Grade, Tully
CINEMATOGRAPHY
TVP Preference order of Should Win:
- Roma
- The Favorite
- Cold War
- A Star is Born
Never Look Away – Not watched, Not ranked
Likely to Win: Roma
Major Snubs – TVP Perspective: First Man
EDITING
TVP Preference order of Should Win:
- Green Book
- The Favorite
- BlacKkKlansman
- Bohemian Rhapsody
- Vice
Likely to Win: Vice
Major Snubs – TVP Perspective: Roma
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
TVP Preference order of Should Win:
- Roma
- Shoplifters
- Cold War
Never Look Away, Capernaum – Not watched, Not ranked
Likely to Win: Roma
Major Snubs – TVP Perspective: A 12 year night, Burning
PRODUCTION DESIGN
TVP Preference order of Should Win:
- Mary Poppins Returns
- The Favorite
- First Man
- Roma
- Black Panther
Likely to Win: The Favorite
Major Snubs – TVP Perspective: Green Book
COSTUME DESIGN
TVP Preference order of Should Win:
- Mary Poppins Returns
- The Favorite
- Black Panther
- The Ballad Of Buster Scruggs
- Mary Queen Of Scots
Likely to Win: The Favorite
Major Snubs – TVP Perspective: No major snubs
ORIGINAL SCORE
TVP Preference order of Should Win:
- If Beale Street Could Talk
- Mary Poppins Returns
- Black Panther
- BlacKkKlansman
Isle Of Dogs – Not watched, Not ranked
Likely to Win: Black Panther
Major Snubs – TVP Perspective: First Man
ORIGINAL SONG
TVP Preference order of Should Win:
- Shallow, A Star is Born
- All The Stars, Black Panther
- When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings, The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
- The Place Where Lost Things Go, Mary Poppins Returns
I’ll Fight, RBG – Not watched, Not ranked
Likely to Win: Shallow, A Star is Born
Major Snubs – TVP Perspective: No major snubs
SOUND EDITING
TVP Preference order of Should Win:
- First Man
- A Quiet Place
- Bohemian Rhapsody
- Roma
- Black Panther
Likely to Win: A Quiet Place
Major Snubs – TVP Perspective: If Beale Street Could Talk
SOUND MIXING
TVP Preference order of Should Win:
- First Man
- Roma
- A Star Is Born
- Bohemian Rhapsody
- Black Panther
Likely to Win: Roma
Major Snubs – TVP Perspective: No major snubs
The other categories are not covered since the critical mass on those nominations were not watched.
What are your likely Oscar winner predictions? Who are you rooting for? Share with us, and we can all compare notes on February 24th. Hoping to see many deserving winners, beating the buzz where needed! Lets wait and watch…
Copyright ©2019 Jayashree Chakravarti. This article cannot be reproduced in its entirety without permission. A link to this URL can be used instead.